Bank of Canada Raises Key Rate to 2.5% After Seven Straight Holds

The quarter-point increase was the first change after seven decisions on hold. The Bank cited high energy prices and said more increases may be needed.

The Bank of Canada building in Ottawa (file photo)
Photo: Wladyslaw / Wikimedia Commons (CC BY-SA 3.0)

Facts

  • The Bank of Canada raised its overnight rate by 25 basis points, from 2.25% to 2.50%, on Wednesday, October 28, 2026. The Bank Rate rose to 2.75% and the deposit rate to 2.45%.
  • The Rio Times reported that the increase ended a run of seven decisions on hold. A Reuters poll published October 23 had forecast the move.
  • The Bank said it acted to reduce the risk that high energy prices spread to other goods and services.
  • Headline inflation was 3.1% in September, up from 3.0% in August, according to Statistics Canada. Gasoline prices were up 27.8% from a year earlier. Excluding gasoline, inflation eased to 2.2% from 2.4%.
  • Inflation has stayed near 3% since April and is expected to reach about 3.5% by the end of the year, largely because of elevated oil prices, the Rio Times reported.
  • The Bank’s new forecasts: GDP growth of 1% in 2026 and 2% in 2027 and 2028, inflation averaging 3% in 2027 and returning to 2% by mid-2028, and global growth revised up to 3.1% in 2026.
  • The Bank said more increases may be needed, given the uncertainties, and that it will proceed carefully. The next rate decision is on December 9, 2026.
  • The Rio Times said the market reaction in the Canadian dollar, bond yields and stocks was not yet verified.

Source Read the Rio Times’s report on the decision here.

Image <a href="https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Ottawa_-ON-_Bank_of_Canada.jpg” rel=”noopener” target=”_blank”>Ottawa – ON – Bank of Canada by Wladyslaw, licensed under CC BY-SA 3.0.